Thursday, July 12, 2018

The 7 golden rules of Daniel Negreanu for beginners

Daniel Negreanu offers his advice to beginners, those who want to get high in poker but are starting. Enjoy with its 7 golden rules.

If you were to play your first big live tournament and you could ask Daniel Negreanu for advice, what questions would you ask him?

Before starting the main event of the PokerStars Championship Monte Carlo 2017, Canadian professional Negreanu, one of the best players in the world and probably the most charismatic in the world, sat at a table with a group of recreational players.

This meeting was not scheduled or registered in the official schedule of the tournament, it was only a first contact and welcome before the tournament, with good atmosphere, even laughter, while enjoying the good Mediterranean climate of the Principality on the terrace of the Salles des Etoiles on the roof of Monte Carlo Casino.

We were able to take a seat with all of them (recreational and Negreanu) to listen to the questions and answers. We will not expose all of them, but we will focus on the key points that Daniel urged his listeners, with their own words.

1. Do not show (the letters) if you do not have to

There is no reason to show your cards, it does not matter if you had a good play or you were just bluffing. People will analyze how much you have wagered, how you acted in doing it and collected all the details of the hand.

At some point they will use this to confront you. Wait to teach the cards to your opponents until you have more experience (then you will know when and how to do it).

I like that my table mates know what I am capable of doing, but in spite of it, I would not use this type of attitude with everybody, I would always do it or not depending on who is sitting at the table.

I also recommend not playing too much or forcing the situation (overplay) with some hands. AQ is a clear example since it is a very delicate hand.

Do not do 4bet with her because if you get an even stronger bet (or even all-in), your hand is dead. What do you think would force you with a 5bet or all-in your rival?

2. The reading of the rivals is based on small details

Everything depends on noticing something and taking it into account (write it down mentally) for the future, but you should know that it is not always the same for each player, they are always different details and aspects. It is not easy to read the rivals and it takes a lot of time (and maybe also experience).

Be careful not to laugh at you, do not be fooled. I often do "reverse tells" (tells the contrary of the usual or what I want to show). Once, I went bluffing and put my hand on my face. This tournament was televised and my action was shown on television.

The opponent saw my bet and everyone saw that he had tried to bluff. For a year, whenever I had the nuts (the best possible move) I made that same gesture, with the rivals watching my bet again and again.

3. Do not go bluffing

I do not bet bluff, ever. Well, except that time with Isaac Haxton. One thing is to go semifarol, with outs and options to take your hand if they see your bet and another go bluffing, something you should not do when you are a beginner.

4. Do not play loose too early

If you think you should see many flops when it's cheap, you're wrong, doing that is playing poker badly.

Do not dedicate yourself to limping when the blinds are low. With blinds 25/50, there are only 75 points in the pot that you can take, that's all.

Later, when they come into play before, there is much more to gain when you see the flop, that is the time to open your hand when entering the boats (play loose).

5. Get them to recognize that you play tight

If you have not played a hand for quite some time, make sure that your tablemates are aware of it because only then you will get benefits for it.

If the other players at the table do not realize that you have not played a hand in a long time, you will not be able to get anything from that game strategy.

6. Have a goal and a reason

You must have a clear goal, but I also firmly believe that you should not only know what you want or where you want to go, you also need to know how to get it and why you want to do it.

Think, for example, of a poker tournament. Why do you want to win it ?, for the money? Perfect, but ... Why? What are you going to do with it?

Or do you simply want to feel fulfilled? Well, but why is it so important to you? If you do not have a clear reason why you want to win the tournament (in this case), it will be more difficult to achieve your goal.

I've seen billionaires who only talk about making more money, people who will never get ruined or stop being rich who protest because a coffee costs them five dollars (or euros), why do they even worry about so much money?

These people believe the lie that more is always better. They think that if they have more money they will be happier, forgetting that this is not the case.

7. Fail

Failing is important, everyone does it. Yes, I have also failed.

More than once in Las Vegas I was making money, thinking I had the game, as well as the table, totally dominated and only 24 hours later I was bankrupt, I had lost so much that I had to walk back to my hotel.

Those walks were very important to me. I'm still benefiting and I continue to learn from them.

Thursday, July 5, 2018

This team will win in Russia 2018 according to the betting houses

For more than two weeks we have seen how the selections of the 32 World Cup teams seek to be the champion of the 2018 World Cup in Russia. This is a battle that the fans have taken to another platform: the betting one, which provides a new way to live the passion of your favorite teams and, in addition, to win economic prizes.

There is still time to get to know the absolute winner of this edition of the 2018 World Cup, but in virtual betting platforms, such as PlayCity, there is already a marked tendency on who could be the winning team that will lift the Cup, and they are the same players who predict that Brazil will be the future winner, followed by France and third in the England team.

Although nothing is written, some virtual betting platforms, including PlayCity, show the behavior of the teams that are still on the way through the World Cup through tutorials and statistics that allow users to place a bet on their chances of winning or losing the following matches, this, by means of odds, which are the opportunities for an event to happen.

It will be the previous elements - tutorials, statistics and odds - based on their representation, those in charge of financially rewarding who makes the bet; This is explained in the following way: the closer the momio of 0 is, the better the chances of winning will be; in as much, the equipment more remote from the 0 will be those that offer a greater economic retribution to who makes the bet after its result.

Although the matches have been held at atypical times, mainly in the mornings, the Mexican fan has not stopped participating in this type of bets, and has even increased the flow of them since the beginning of the 2018 World Cup in Russia, showing an increase of 25 to 30%.

This type of platform offers users the most pleasant way to enter the world of betting. Here it is not necessary to be an expert, just follow a trend based on statistics, or in other cases, listen to a hunch for a specific team.

The betting options vary: you can make a predetermined by the possible winning team or, as in PlayCity, you can make a quick bet, in which, as the name implies, the user will immediately know the outcome of your bet . There are also other categories where to bet in Russia 2018, among them, the absolute scorer, who is the winner of the Golden Boot. In this category, the trends point to the favorite footballer Harry Kane, of England, followed by Romelu Lakaku, from Belgium, and Kylian Mbappé, from France.

Saturday, June 23, 2018

Keys to make a right decision, according to a former poker player

Annie Duke is world famous for being a former poker champion, winner of tournaments such as the World Series of Poker (2004) and the Heads-Up Poker Championship of the United States (2002). Few know that before becoming famous for his skills in this game, he earned a Ph.D. in cognitive science at the University of Pennsylvania.

In a talk with the BBC, the expert in this popular game argued that "poker is a unique place to observe and understand the decision-making process".

For this, everything we have to solve happens in an environment like this game. And with the idea of ​​contributing to this topic he wrote the book Thinking about bets; how to make smart decisions when you do not have all the data.

As mentioned in the title, the former champion observed that at the time of making a decision "there are many hidden things in sight, much information that we do not have or do not know and when it comes to predicting the future, luck also intervenes" .

This happens both in poker and in life, therefore, the strategies used by players to solve their dilemma, can be very useful to address everyday challenges.

Under the premise of helping others from his experience, Duke also created an organization called How I Decide, to which young people come to develop critical thinking and the ability to make decisions. And it gives some premises that also contribute to those key moments of our life:

- Do not think in black and white or in right and wrong. What we have to decide belongs to the future, therefore we do not have all the knowledge about how things will be and, in these cases, luck can intervene. On the other hand, if we already have the preconception that something is right or wrong, we are conditioning ourselves and it is certain that we will reject any new information presented to us.

- Seek to be precise and not have the absolute truth. If we start with the idea that only what we hold is the right thing, we will never go in search of another truth and we will surround ourselves with those who think like us. If we look for precision, invariably we must open ourselves to other opinions, which will broaden our panorama and perfect our own thinking.

- Exchange with people who think differently. Help integrate groups that complement our thinking in front of unknown situations or when we realize that our opinion is partial.

- Do not be afraid to say "I'm not sure". If instead of frightening us, embarrassing us or reserving the state of insecurity, we open ourselves and express our doubts, surely there will be someone who will bring us their thoughts and this can help us to make a better decision.

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

The World Cup of bets is just hours away

The predictions for the 2014 World Cup Brazil that gave specialists and agencies of high reputation had a particularity: they all failed. There were several examples that put Spain in the final and Brazil winning the game against Germany, for example.

Paddy Power, the most important bookmaker in Ireland, had named England as the Cup winner, while Italy and Uruguay also appeared as great candidates.

But that's already history and the bookmakers are back on the agenda, in the lead-up to the biggest world soccer event. And just hours from the start of Russia 2018, they have something clear: Lionel Messi is the great candidate to be the scorer of the World Cup, although Argentina is not among the main favorites to lift the trophy on July 15.

Brazil and Germany come to the World Cup as the main contenders to be champions. In the second line, always according to specialists, appear France and Spain.

The forecasts of Bet365, William Hill, Sportium and Betfair note that the cast of Tite is the most likely to take the World Cup, with a fee between 5 and 5.50 euros.

For starters, Betfair are inclined to a new consecration of the five-time world champions, with a quota of 5.5 euros for every 1 wagered. Hand in hand with Neymar, those led by Tite showed great performance in all the friendlies they played and will be one of the great attractions of the tournament.

Behind them appear the Germans with a fee of 6 euros and the first European selection of the ranking, despite not having achieved good results in their recent friendlies. The same house argues that Messi will not be enough to save Argentina (11 euros).

The third favorite here is the Spanish team (6.5), which will try to erase the bad image that it gave in the last World Cup. France appears behind the Iberians (7). There are two cases of countries that come with real options, although somewhat smaller to win the World Cup.

Betfair, also, shows another particularity: it assures that Russia, the local one, will not surpass the first stage and thinks that they will be Uruguay and Egypt those that will finish progressing to the second phase in that group.

For the Bwin house, meanwhile, the scheme of the first four does not change much: Brazil, Germany, France and Spain. Although in this case the Gauls climb the third step. The Brazilian team pays 5 euros for each bet. Here, Argentina pays 10 euros and is located again in the fifth step of the ranking.

While, for virtual fans, Bet365 shows a similar scheme to Bwin: with the four countries mentioned above and the cast of Jorge Sampaoli in the fifth placement ($ 10). After the agonizing classification in Ecuador, the bets were modified month by month in the most popular sites. At least for the most expert houses in the world, it is not enough with the presence of the No. 10 albiceleste for Argentina to lift its third world cup.

But if the bettors are guided by what happened in Brazil 2014, the picture can be modified. Of course, if the World Cup was a favorite thing, it would not be funny. This is where the countries with attractive sums appear. In this lot we find those of Sampaoli, with quotas that in general go between 10 and 11 euros, and Belgium, between 11 and 12 euros.

The betting houses ensure that the trophy to the top scorer in the 2018 World Cup of Russia is disputed between Messi, Neymar and Antoine Griezmann, with quotas that range between 10 and 13 euros per euro invested for the one who hits.

Thursday, January 5, 2006

I Said I Was Easy…

…and apparently Full Tilt Poker believed me. The result is the first ever ad here on the Pile; a development certain to drive a spike in the number of players on the fastest growing poker site on the 'Net. Hey, they got me to download their software for the first time.

Friday, December 30, 2005

The Good, the Weird and the Ugly (Plus Random Notes on the DADI)

Three hands from the PS tourney the other night kind of show the range of experiences I had. The theme that runs through all of them is aggression. From a hand that shows aggression at its best to a hand that shows the problem I’m having with managing my aggression. I’m great at initiating it, but not so good at responding to it or dealing with someone who plays back at me. In those cases I seem to either fold the best hand or play back with the worst hand.

First, the Good.

I’m sitting at a full table with just over 24K in chips, 4K more than the second stack at my table and 10th overall in the tourney. Blinds are 400/800 with a 50 ante. I’m in the SB with Ah8s and I make it 1600 when it’s folded around to me and the BB, who’s third in chips at the table with about 19K, calls. The BB has been nursing this same size stack since I got to the table, while I have almost doubled up, and we’re three from the money, so I’m thinking he/she is going to play tight. Flop comes T43 rainbow, and I lead out for 2500 and get another call. A 2 on the turn completes the rainbow and I toss out 5000 and get the fold, putting me ninth in chips with two to go for the money.

The weird was a couple of hands before that and it’s the hand that vaulted me into the top 10. It’s also a pot I technically “lost,” which is what makes it so strange. I’m sitting on the button with an about average stack of 14K, which is only the fifth largest at my table, and pick up pocket Jacks. UTG+1 raises the 800 BB to 2200, the next player calls and a short stack in MP goes all-in for 1448. I’m thinking I want to drive out the early raiser and caller to isolate against the short stack, so I push. The blinds and the initial raiser fold, but the caller has me covered and calls. The caller turns over 99 and the short stack KQo, meaning that I’m a decent 2.5-1 favorite over the larger stack, but just a slight favorite over the short stack. After all the cards are turned over, the short stack takes the 7K main pot with Qs full of Ts, but I rake in a 25K side pot when my JJ holds up against the 99. (The initial raiser, who folded before the flop, claims to have had AQ. Whew! But that shows you what aggression can do to help you.)

The ugly came when we were in the money with me sitting at a new table with 28k in chips, good for ninth place overall, but another player with 37k sitting across the table. I’m UTG with Qd8d and—figuring to keep up the aggression (never mind that none of these players has seen much of anything from me, or course)—open for a 3x bb raise to 2400. The larger stack calls and a short stack pushes all-in from the SB for a total of 5251. Getting nearly 4-1 pot odds, I’m forced to call at this point, and the big stack comes along for the party. When the flop comes Kd Th 4h, I wimp out and check. The big stack checks behind and the turn comes the Qs. Sensing weakness from the big stack, I check-raise to 12800 after he throws out a bet of 6400. He reraises all-in and I call. The rest of the cards are inconsequential, as the big stack turns over AJs for the turned nut straight. I was drawing dead and the short stack was close to dead with AA in the hole.

I clearly have no chance of winning this hand no matter what the big stack has, as I’m way behind to the short stack's AA from the get go. My only hope here is to minimize my losses, which probably would best have been handled by throwing out a feeler bet on the flop. I’m pretty sure I get a call (or a raise) from the big stack based on his combination of the nut flush draw, inside straight draw and an overcard to the board. But I’ve defined my hand and can comfortably go away if I’m raised or play much more cautiously on the turn if I’m called. Since I didn’t do that and I tried to get tricky on the turn, my last best hope would have been to run screaming in the opposite direction when my check-raise was reraised. Obviously I'm not that smart.

Two lessons: First, this was not a good situation to try a check raise. It was stupid; but I suppose I was just feeling my oats after my success in running up my stack on the bubble. Second, when your opponent comes to life like that, get out of the way (of course I came to life like that, but he wasn’t going to get out of the way with a made nut straight and a nut flush draw). I’m definitely hurting with only 10k in chips if I fold at that point, but I’m certainly not crippled and would have lived to fight at least one more day.

Donkeys Always Draw Invitational

I did play in my first blogger event when I made the scene at Jordan’s and Tripjax’s DADI on Wednesday night. I’d love to say that I shined in my debut, but I didn’t. Was pretty card dead for most of the night and couldn’t get any action when I did pick up a hand early on. I even checked pocket aces from the BB, when only the SB was in to see the flop with me. He folded, however, when I threw out a token bet on a rag flop. The only hand that troubles me is when I raised with AKo, checked behind on a ragged flop and folded to a big raise from an unknown that had been playing LAG, after betting out when a K hit on the turn. Not sure what he may have had, but it didn’t smell right. I do wonder if I folded the best hand, however.

DeadMoney busted me (right after taking out two others on a single hand by getting all in with KK before the flop) in 36th place when his 44 held up to my KQo. He gets a link on my blog roll for his trouble. I'm sure that makes his day.

Other than that, it was a good time. I railbirded Will Wonka for a while and got to see him pull down a big pot when his hammer turned into deuces full of sevens, then watched some excellent play (and a few suckouts) at the final table. I was getting pretty drunk by that point, however, so I’m not sure if any of my side comments made any sense. I promise I'm really not an idiot (although I'm pretty sure that my brain works just a little bit differently than yours), if anyone came away with that impression.

Congratulations to the winner, Change100, and the runner up, Joe Speaker, and the rest of the final table.

Finished the night with a third place finish in a $10+1 SNG to offset some of the DADI buy in, so whoop de doo.

Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Holidays at the Virtual Tables

Had a great holiday weekend and hope all of my readers did too. It was great to spend time with my family in the spirit of the season. I played some PS2 and did Legos with my son (8), had some great talks with my daughter (soon to be 12), and spent some quality time with my wife. Even cooked a kick-ass Christmas Eve dinner, featuring bacon-wrapped fillet mignon and twice-baked potatoes with bacon and horseradish.

Since my wife took ill on Christmas Day and went to bed early Sunday and Monday, however, I wound up playing more poker than expected over the holiday weekend. My game was…there.

It started on Friday night, when I fired up Poker Stars and sat down in a $10 SNG, finishing in third place for a tiny profit. I think I’ve mentioned it before, but I just haven’t been able to get any traction on Stars since I started playing there a few months ago. As a result, this seemed like a major event to me.

When that wrapped, I plopped down $10 and joined 642 other people in a NLHE MTT. Up until the first break, I floundered around; not getting many decent cards and not hitting much on the flop. As a result, I went into that break below average and without much hope. Things got worse after the break and I found myself staring at a rapidly diminishing stack in the face of increasing blinds and the added problem of antes.

I started to get a few decent hands and managed to chip my way up to about average going into the second break and stayed there until we were closing in on the money (top 63 places paid). Then things got interesting and I would up ninth in chips with the bubble closing in.

The pivotal hand was a strange one because of how it happened. I’ll have to check the details, but there was one MP limper and an all-in from a teeny tiny stack ahead of me. I had a hand I felt would hold up against the likely holdings of the short stack and I had the limper covered by a little bit, so I pushed to isolate myself against the short stack. Lo and behold, however, the limper calls. I wasn’t happy about that, but it turned out to be the best thing that could have happened, as the short stack took the tiny main pot and I would up scooping a much larger side pot and vaulting into position to make the money.

Once that happened, I moved into selective aggression mode, stealing the blinds a few times, winning a few hands and even bluffing a nice pot away from the player to my right with a big bet on the turn. When the money came around I was sitting pretty in ninth position and trying to figure out what to do with the big payday that was sure to come my way.

Of course you know where this is heading. Once the bubble burst, I wound up at a table with one of the chip leaders who had about twice as many chips as me. A few hands into that table I raised in EP w/ Q8s (things had been pretty tight) and got a call from the big stack in MP and a short stack in MP. Checked around on the KTx rainbow flop and I checked. Then a Q hit on the turn and I lost my mind, throwing a big bet into the pot, which was called all-in by the short stack and then raised by the big stack. For some reason, which likely will remain unexplained, I decided the big stack was trying to buy the pot and pushed the rest of my chips into the center of the table. He obligingly called with his turned nut straight and the short stack turned over AA.

I was out in 61st spot for a whopping $16.07 payday. Heeeeeeeeeeeeeeee Haaaaaaaaawwwwwwww!

Ah well. At least I have a cash next to my name in thepokerdb now and I’ve broken my Stars MTT curse.

Spent Sunday and Monday nights treading water on Stars and UB. Dropped a couple of $20 SNGs on Pokerroom, including one where in the second hand I found AA in MP, raised an EP raiser and was looking at three all-ins ahead of me when it came back around. I knew I was ahead, but I also knew that I probably had only about a 50% chance of winning (closer to 53% in the actual analysis). I called anyway and saw myself facing KK, QQ and 44 (!?). QQ flopped a set and the rest of us went down in flames. At least it was quick.